The right way to Make a UFC Moneyline Guess at a Sportsbook

With UFC propelling itself into the mainstream sports activities narrative over the previous two years, practically each week of the yr presents an important card of motion, whether or not it’s pay-per-view or totally free on ESPN and its household of networks. With the elevated viewership, betting has turn into the norm as bettors throughout the spectrum are in search of methods to get in on the motion.

At present, let’s take a look at the commonest UFC wager: the UFC moneyline guess.

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What’s a UFC Moneyline Guess?

Similar to conventional sports activities that supply moneyline bets to choose a given aspect, the UFC moneyline guess is not any totally different. Additionally similar to conventional sports activities, when oddsmakers resolve that two fighters are on equal footing from a betting perspective, each shall be -110.

For these unfamiliar with moneyline bets generally, -110 merely means a bettor should danger $110 to win $100, $11 to win $10, and so forth down the road. Within the UFC, nonetheless, the moneyline isn’t -110 on either side, as a number of elements make one fighter usually favored over one other. For title fights, as a rule, the champion (favourite) shall be priced at -200 or greater, having a bet on them heavy with juice.

Technique for Making UFC Moneyline Bets

Betting on UFC practically each weekend, there are just a few methods I’ve employed through the years that I’ve discovered success in checking into when beginning to handicap a given combat. First, latest combat historical past at all times comes into play, inspecting not simply the win/loss outcomes however how fights ended (unanimous choice, break up choice, TKO, submission, and many others.). If a fighter has had a protracted layoff, a time period known as ring rust should be thought-about, which merely means a fighter may not be as crisp in comparison with if they have been actively combating over the previous 6-18 months.

One other side of fights I at all times check out is combat metrics. Among the most necessary to think about are important strikes landed per quarter-hour, important strikes accuracy, common takedowns per quarter-hour, takedown accuracy, and common submission per quarter-hour. Whereas there are numerous extra accessible to have a look at, I’ve discovered these are essentially the most vital when two fighters and their probabilities vs. each other.

Irrespective of your technique, UFC moneyline bets are essentially the most simple solution to get in on the UFC betting motion.

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Whether or not you are new to sports activities betting or a betting professional, our How To Guess and Sports activities Betting Technique and Recommendation pages are for you. You will get began with our 101 part — together with The right way to Guess on Sports activities — or head to extra superior technique — like 10 Tricks to Change into a Sharper Sports activities Bettor — to be taught extra.

Johnny is a featured author at BettingPros. For extra from Johnny, try his archive and observe him @JohnnyCovers.


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